Bbelowexpectation
Bbelowexpectation

The scoreboard

2026 · week 2 · priced at 10-team · full PPR · 1QB

Where BX and the experts disagreed

Each pair is two players at one position in one week that BX and the other side ranked in opposite order. Whoever put the higher scorer on top takes the pair. Pairs that finished level are left out.

Week 2
BX against FantasyProsBX against Consensus
PositionBXFantasyProsBX %NetBXConsensusBX %Net
QB212347.7%−2392660.0%+13
RB534852.5%+5605253.6%+8
WR17829437.7%−11616532233.9%−157
TE482466.7%+24513063.0%+21
All30038943.5%−8931543042.3%−115

Week 2

QB
BX against FantasyPros
BX21FantasyPros23−2
BX against Consensus
BX39Consensus26+13
RB
BX against FantasyPros
BX53FantasyPros48+5
BX against Consensus
BX60Consensus52+8
WR
BX against FantasyPros
BX178FantasyPros294−116
BX against Consensus
BX165Consensus322−157
TE
BX against FantasyPros
BX48FantasyPros24+24
BX against Consensus
BX51Consensus30+21
All
BX against FantasyPros
BX300FantasyPros389−89
BX against Consensus
BX315Consensus430−115

The pairs come from the top 24 quarterbacks, 48 running backs, 60 receivers and 24 tight ends each week, ranked by BX, FantasyPros and the consensus added together, so no one ranking chooses which players count.

Start/sit inside a tier

A tier is one player per team: at 10 teams, RB1 is the top 10 running backs that week and RB2 the next 10. Each figure is how often the higher ranked of two players in the same tier scored more.

Week 2
TierBXFantasyProsConsensusΔPairs
QB173.3%84.4%59.1%−11.1%45
QB244.4%40.0%40.0%+4.4%45
RB157.8%68.9%63.6%−11.1%45
RB251.1%51.1%56.8%−5.7%45
RB351.1%42.2%45.5%+5.7%45
RB451.1%48.9%38.6%+2.2%45
WR162.2%71.1%72.1%−9.9%45
WR235.6%35.6%47.7%−12.2%45
WR331.1%80.0%78.0%−48.9%45
WR446.7%44.4%61.4%−14.7%45
WR551.1%44.4%53.3%−2.2%45
WR653.3%48.9%64.4%−11.1%45
TE164.4%48.9%44.4%+15.6%45
TE255.6%42.2%51.1%+4.4%45

Week 2

QB1BX73.3%FantasyPros84.4%Consensus59.1%−11.1%
QB2BX44.4%FantasyPros40.0%Consensus40.0%+4.4%
RB1BX57.8%FantasyPros68.9%Consensus63.6%−11.1%
RB2BX51.1%FantasyPros51.1%Consensus56.8%−5.7%
RB3BX51.1%FantasyPros42.2%Consensus45.5%+5.7%
RB4BX51.1%FantasyPros48.9%Consensus38.6%+2.2%
WR1BX62.2%FantasyPros71.1%Consensus72.1%−9.9%
WR2BX35.6%FantasyPros35.6%Consensus47.7%−12.2%
WR3BX31.1%FantasyPros80.0%Consensus78.0%−48.9%
WR4BX46.7%FantasyPros44.4%Consensus61.4%−14.7%
WR5BX51.1%FantasyPros44.4%Consensus53.3%−2.2%
WR6BX53.3%FantasyPros48.9%Consensus64.4%−11.1%
TE1BX64.4%FantasyPros48.9%Consensus44.4%+15.6%
TE2BX55.6%FantasyPros42.2%Consensus51.1%+4.4%

Projected points against points scored

Week 2
Proj/actualMiss
PositionBXFantasyProsBXFantasyPros
QB0.941.017.57.8
RB1.321.194.64.2
WR1.111.037.76.9
TE1.110.936.15.9

Week 2

QB
Proj/actual
BX0.94FantasyPros1.01
Miss
BX7.5FantasyPros7.8

24 player-weeks

RB
Proj/actual
BX1.32FantasyPros1.19
Miss
BX4.6FantasyPros4.2

48 player-weeks

WR
Proj/actual
BX1.11FantasyPros1.03
Miss
BX7.7FantasyPros6.9

60 player-weeks

TE
Proj/actual
BX1.11FantasyPros0.93
Miss
BX6.1FantasyPros5.9

24 player-weeks

Proj/actual
Projected points as a share of points scored. 1.00 is right on.
Miss
The average distance between projection and result, in points at this league's scoring, weighted toward the top players. Lower is better.

1,765 player-weeks, the top 24 quarterbacks, 48 running backs, 60 receivers and 24 tight ends by BX’s own ranking that week, held to the players every system here priced.

The preseason board

The board BX published before the first kickoff, against ADP and the experts’ draft ranking, on the season through week 2. A pair is two players at one position that BX and the other side ranked in opposite order.

Through week 2
BX against ADPBX against Experts
PositionBXADPBX %NetBXExpertsBX %Net
QB403553.3%+5453754.9%+8
RB457537.5%−30599638.1%−37
WR6812235.8%−547712937.4%−52
TE141450.0%0122631.6%−14
All16724640.4%−7919328840.1%−95

Through week 2

QB
BX against ADP
BX40ADP35+5
BX against Experts
BX45Experts37+8
RB
BX against ADP
BX45ADP75−30
BX against Experts
BX59Experts96−37
WR
BX against ADP
BX68ADP122−54
BX against Experts
BX77Experts129−52
TE
BX against ADP
BX14ADP140
BX against Experts
BX12Experts26−14
All
BX against ADP
BX167ADP246−79
BX against Experts
BX193Experts288−95

A tier is one player per team: at 10 teams, RB1 is the top 10 running backs before the season and RB2 the next 10. Each figure is how often the higher ranked of two players in the same tier has scored more so far.

Through week 2
TierBXADPExpertsΔPairs
QB162.2%42.2%46.7%+15.6%45
QB251.1%62.2%62.2%−11.1%45
RB171.1%77.8%80.0%−8.9%45
RB266.7%62.2%64.4%+2.2%45
RB340.0%66.7%60.0%−26.7%45
RB444.4%26.7%42.2%+2.2%45
WR171.1%64.4%62.2%+6.7%45
WR233.3%57.8%66.7%−33.3%45
WR348.9%64.4%64.4%−15.6%45
WR446.7%55.6%66.7%−20.0%45
WR556.8%59.1%36.4%−2.3%44
WR645.2%66.7%61.9%−21.4%42
TE142.2%37.8%35.6%+4.4%45
TE248.9%59.1%82.2%−33.3%45

Through week 2

QB1BX62.2%ADP42.2%Experts46.7%+15.6%
QB2BX51.1%ADP62.2%Experts62.2%−11.1%
RB1BX71.1%ADP77.8%Experts80.0%−8.9%
RB2BX66.7%ADP62.2%Experts64.4%+2.2%
RB3BX40.0%ADP66.7%Experts60.0%−26.7%
RB4BX44.4%ADP26.7%Experts42.2%+2.2%
WR1BX71.1%ADP64.4%Experts62.2%+6.7%
WR2BX33.3%ADP57.8%Experts66.7%−33.3%
WR3BX48.9%ADP64.4%Experts64.4%−15.6%
WR4BX46.7%ADP55.6%Experts66.7%−20.0%
WR5BX56.8%ADP59.1%Experts36.4%−2.3%
WR6BX45.2%ADP66.7%Experts61.9%−21.4%
TE1BX42.2%ADP37.8%Experts35.6%+4.4%
TE2BX48.9%ADP59.1%Experts82.2%−33.3%

The pairs come from the top 24 quarterbacks, 48 running backs, 60 receivers and 24 tight ends before the season, ranked by BX, ADP and the experts added together, so no one ranking chooses which players count.

The calls behind these numbers

The week against expectation, player by player →

Every call, with the stat lines →

Opportunity and efficiency, projected against actual →

The season, against the preseason board →

How the numbers are made →