The scoreboard

2026 · week 1 · priced at 10-team · full PPR · 1QB

Where BX and the experts disagreed

Each pair is two players at one position in one week that BX and the other side ranked in opposite order. Whoever put the higher scorer on top takes the pair. Pairs that finished level are left out.

Week 1
	BX against FantasyPros				BX against Consensus
Position	BX	FantasyPros	BX %	Net	BX	Consensus	BX %	Net
QB	37	50	42.5%	−13	32	53	37.6%	−21
RB	47	92	33.8%	−45	36	90	28.6%	−54
WR	124	163	43.2%	−39	118	156	43.1%	−38
TE	10	55	15.4%	−45	14	55	20.3%	−41
All	218	360	37.7%	−142	200	354	36.1%	−154

Week 1

BX against FantasyPros

BX37FantasyPros50−13

BX against Consensus

BX32Consensus53−21

BX against FantasyPros

BX47FantasyPros92−45

BX against Consensus

BX36Consensus90−54

BX against FantasyPros

BX124FantasyPros163−39

BX against Consensus

BX118Consensus156−38

BX against FantasyPros

BX10FantasyPros55−45

BX against Consensus

BX14Consensus55−41

All

BX against FantasyPros

BX218FantasyPros360−142

BX against Consensus

BX200Consensus354−154

The pairs come from the top 24 quarterbacks, 48 running backs, 60 receivers and 24 tight ends each week, ranked by BX, FantasyPros and the consensus added together, so no one ranking chooses which players count.

Start/sit inside a tier

A tier is one player per team: at 10 teams, RB1 is the top 10 running backs that week and RB2 the next 10. Each figure is how often the higher ranked of two players in the same tier scored more.

Week 1
Tier	BX	FantasyPros	Consensus	Δ	Pairs
QB1	35.6%	46.7%	51.1%	−15.6%	45
QB2	53.3%	37.8%	47.7%	+5.6%	45
RB1	57.8%	64.4%	61.4%	−6.7%	45
RB2	44.4%	53.3%	63.6%	−19.2%	45
RB3	48.9%	55.6%	66.7%	−17.8%	45
RB4	44.4%	54.5%	51.1%	−10.1%	45
WR1	57.8%	53.3%	51.1%	+4.4%	45
WR2	37.8%	53.3%	51.1%	−15.6%	45
WR3	44.4%	62.2%	62.8%	−18.3%	45
WR4	44.4%	44.4%	47.7%	−3.3%	45
WR5	44.4%	57.8%	58.1%	−13.7%	45
WR6	38.6%	52.3%	56.8%	−18.2%	44
TE1	50.0%	63.6%	50.0%	−13.6%	44
TE2	20.5%	54.5%	66.7%	−46.2%	44

Week 1

QB1BX35.6%FantasyPros46.7%Consensus51.1%−15.6%

QB2BX53.3%FantasyPros37.8%Consensus47.7%+5.6%

RB1BX57.8%FantasyPros64.4%Consensus61.4%−6.7%

RB2BX44.4%FantasyPros53.3%Consensus63.6%−19.2%

RB3BX48.9%FantasyPros55.6%Consensus66.7%−17.8%

RB4BX44.4%FantasyPros54.5%Consensus51.1%−10.1%

WR1BX57.8%FantasyPros53.3%Consensus51.1%+4.4%

WR2BX37.8%FantasyPros53.3%Consensus51.1%−15.6%

WR3BX44.4%FantasyPros62.2%Consensus62.8%−18.3%

WR4BX44.4%FantasyPros44.4%Consensus47.7%−3.3%

WR5BX44.4%FantasyPros57.8%Consensus58.1%−13.7%

WR6BX38.6%FantasyPros52.3%Consensus56.8%−18.2%

TE1BX50.0%FantasyPros63.6%Consensus50.0%−13.6%

TE2BX20.5%FantasyPros54.5%Consensus66.7%−46.2%

Projected points against points scored

Week 1
	Proj/actual		Miss
Position	BX	FantasyPros	BX	FantasyPros
QB	0.97	0.93	7.8	7.4
RB	0.86	0.93	6.6	6.3
WR	1.09	1.11	6.0	6.0
TE	1.02	1.00	5.9	5.5

Week 1

Proj/actual

BX0.97FantasyPros0.93

Miss

BX7.8FantasyPros7.4

22 player-weeks

Proj/actual

BX0.86FantasyPros0.93

Miss

BX6.6FantasyPros6.3

45 player-weeks

Proj/actual

BX1.09FantasyPros1.11

Miss

BX6.0FantasyPros6.0

55 player-weeks

Proj/actual

BX1.02FantasyPros1.00

Miss

BX5.9FantasyPros5.5

23 player-weeks

Proj/actual: Projected points as a share of points scored. 1.00 is right on.
Miss: The average distance between projection and result, in points at this league's scoring, weighted toward the top players. Lower is better.

1,478 player-weeks, the top 24 quarterbacks, 48 running backs, 60 receivers and 24 tight ends by BX’s own ranking that week, held to the players every system here priced.

The preseason board

The board BX published before the first kickoff, against ADP and the experts’ draft ranking, on the season through week 2. A pair is two players at one position that BX and the other side ranked in opposite order.

Through week 2
	BX against ADP				BX against Experts
Position	BX	ADP	BX %	Net	BX	Experts	BX %	Net
QB	40	35	53.3%	+5	45	37	54.9%	+8
RB	45	75	37.5%	−30	59	96	38.1%	−37
WR	68	122	35.8%	−54	77	129	37.4%	−52
TE	14	14	50.0%	0	12	26	31.6%	−14
All	167	246	40.4%	−79	193	288	40.1%	−95

Through week 2

BX against ADP

BX40ADP35+5

BX against Experts

BX45Experts37+8

BX against ADP

BX45ADP75−30

BX against Experts

BX59Experts96−37

BX against ADP

BX68ADP122−54

BX against Experts

BX77Experts129−52

BX against ADP

BX14ADP140

BX against Experts

BX12Experts26−14

All

BX against ADP

BX167ADP246−79

BX against Experts

BX193Experts288−95

A tier is one player per team: at 10 teams, RB1 is the top 10 running backs before the season and RB2 the next 10. Each figure is how often the higher ranked of two players in the same tier has scored more so far.

Through week 2
Tier	BX	ADP	Experts	Δ	Pairs
QB1	62.2%	42.2%	46.7%	+15.6%	45
QB2	51.1%	62.2%	62.2%	−11.1%	45
RB1	71.1%	77.8%	80.0%	−8.9%	45
RB2	66.7%	62.2%	64.4%	+2.2%	45
RB3	40.0%	66.7%	60.0%	−26.7%	45
RB4	44.4%	26.7%	42.2%	+2.2%	45
WR1	71.1%	64.4%	62.2%	+6.7%	45
WR2	33.3%	57.8%	66.7%	−33.3%	45
WR3	48.9%	64.4%	64.4%	−15.6%	45
WR4	46.7%	55.6%	66.7%	−20.0%	45
WR5	56.8%	59.1%	36.4%	−2.3%	44
WR6	45.2%	66.7%	61.9%	−21.4%	42
TE1	42.2%	37.8%	35.6%	+4.4%	45
TE2	48.9%	59.1%	82.2%	−33.3%	45

Through week 2

QB1BX62.2%ADP42.2%Experts46.7%+15.6%

QB2BX51.1%ADP62.2%Experts62.2%−11.1%

RB1BX71.1%ADP77.8%Experts80.0%−8.9%

RB2BX66.7%ADP62.2%Experts64.4%+2.2%

RB3BX40.0%ADP66.7%Experts60.0%−26.7%

RB4BX44.4%ADP26.7%Experts42.2%+2.2%

WR1BX71.1%ADP64.4%Experts62.2%+6.7%

WR2BX33.3%ADP57.8%Experts66.7%−33.3%

WR3BX48.9%ADP64.4%Experts64.4%−15.6%

WR4BX46.7%ADP55.6%Experts66.7%−20.0%

WR5BX56.8%ADP59.1%Experts36.4%−2.3%

WR6BX45.2%ADP66.7%Experts61.9%−21.4%

TE1BX42.2%ADP37.8%Experts35.6%+4.4%

TE2BX48.9%ADP59.1%Experts82.2%−33.3%

The pairs come from the top 24 quarterbacks, 48 running backs, 60 receivers and 24 tight ends before the season, ranked by BX, ADP and the experts added together, so no one ranking chooses which players count.

The calls behind these numbers

The week against expectation, player by player →

Every call, with the stat lines →

Opportunity and efficiency, projected against actual →

The season, against the preseason board →

How the numbers are made →